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Why Amazon will Buy Comcast

Why Amazon will Buy Comcast

The concept of world domination used to be relegated to science fiction movies however Amazon may yet become one of the first to make it a reality. Their recent addition of the Streaming Partners program could be the start of Amazon as the world’s first global OTT (over the top) programming provider. With 83.5% of Facebook users and 79% of Twitter users coming from outside the US, companies today must be globally focused to truly compete and grow.   Comcast business is limited to the US.  With cable systems passing about 44% of all US homes and 22 million subscribers it has a strong presence but only in the US. Amazon is a global company; According to Mark Mahaney, analyst at RBC Capital Markets, 37% of its 80 million Prime subscribers are from outside the US and is growing quickly. But Why Should Amazon buy Comcast? Amazon’s foray into OTT is the precursor to the separation of the programming platform from the wired cable.  I believe that sometime in the next 3 to 5 years most cable companies will sell broadband access only and the program offerings will be spun off into separate companies which will have lots of competition…

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Will Comcast Actually Buy Time Warner Cable or Will this be Charter’s Wake up Call?

Will Comcast Actually Buy Time Warner Cable or Will this be Charter's Wake up Call?

I don’t believe this deal will happen the way its currently structured and here’s why. First off, there are too many volatile variables in this deal in its current form;  the all stock price, softening equities market and other very motivated buyers in the market. I believe that this is only the first move in a larger plan. Time Warner Cable is utilizing a very smart strategy to maximize the sale price for the company; witness that Rob Marcus, the CEO, is a former Mergers and Acquisition attorney. So the battle for Time Warner Cable has come to an end, or has it? Yesterday Comcast announced a $45.2 billion dollar deal to purchase Time Warner Cable, representing a share purchase price of $158.82 per share. This is a significant increase from Charter Cable’s previous offers of $132.50 per share. But there is a big difference. Charter’s offer was substantially cash and Comcast’s is completely a stock deal. Also, we’re now talking about a major anti-trust review. Even with a sell off of 3 million subscribers Comcast would still control 30% of the industry nationwide. Given the lack of competition in each market this does not sound like a slam dunk. A year ago Comcast…

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